The potential value of early (1939-1967) upper-air data in atmospheric climate reanalysis

Autor(en)

Leopold Haimberger, Stefan Brönnimann, Hans Hersbach, Michael Mayer, Leonie Villiger, Joey Comeaux, Adrian Simmons, Dick Dee, Sylvie Jourdain, Carole Peubey, Paul Poli, Nich Rayner, Alexander Sterin, Alexander Stickler, Maria Antonia Valente, Steven Worley

Abstrakt

In recent years a number of reanalysis datasets have been published that cover the past century or more, including the 'Twentieth Century Reanalysis' 20CRv2 and the European Reanalysis of the twentieth century ERA-20C. These datasets are widely used, showing the need for, and possible benefit of, reanalysis data products designed for climate applications. The twentieth-century reanalyses so far have assimilated only surface observations, and rely on independent estimates of monthly averaged sea-surface temperatures and sea ice concentrations as boundary conditions. While 20CRv2 uses only observations of surface and sea-level pressure, ERA-20C additionally assimilates marine winds.

Here we describe an experimental reanalysis, referred to as ERA-PreSAT, which covers the period 1939-1967 and also assimilates historical upper-air data. Assessments of this dataset including comparisons with independent data show that (i) temperature biases in the Northern Hemisphere are largely reduced compared to reanalyses that assimilate surface data only, (ii) concentration of 1940s upper-air data in the northern extratropics created a strong interhemispheric asymmetry which is likely not realistic, (iii) the forecast skill in the Northern Hemisphere has increased substantially compared to reanalyses that assimilate surface data only, (iv) day-to-day and (in the northern extratropics) month-to-month correlations with independent observations (of total column ozone, upper-air data) increase over time, (v) interannual variability is well captured in the reanalysis, (vi) a signature of the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation is present as far back as the 1940s, and (vii) tropical cyclones are not well represented.

The generally encouraging results from the experimental ERA-PreSAT reanalysis underline that early upper-air data greatly contribute to our knowledge on the troposphere and lower stratosphere over the twentieth century.

Organisation(en)

Institut für Meteorologie und Geophysik

Externe Organisation(en)

Universität Bern, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Direction de la Climatologie et des Service Climatiques, Centre de Meteorologie Marine, Met Office, RIHMI Russian Research Institute for Hydrometeorological Information, Universidade de Lisboa

Journal

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Band

143

Seiten

1197–1210

Anzahl der Seiten

ISSN

0035-9009

DOI

https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3040

Publikationsdatum

04-2017

Peer-reviewed

ÖFOS 2012

105204 Klimatologie

Schlagwörter

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Atmospheric Science

Sustainable Development Goals

SDG 13 – Maßnahmen zum Klimaschutz

Link zum Portal

https://ucrisportal.univie.ac.at/de/publications/the-potential-value-of-early-19391967-upperair-data-in-atmospheric-climate-reanalysis(f98ea639-9869-4d57-ac07-40d0fabe2e11).html