An improved estimate of the coupled Arctic energy budget.

Autor(en)

Michael Mayer, Steffen Tietsche, Leopold Haimberger, Takamasa Tsubouchi, Johannes Mayer, Hao Zuo

Abstrakt

This study combines state-of-the-art reanalyses such as the fifth-generation European Re-Analysis (ERA5) and the Ocean Reanalysis System 5 (ORAS5) with novel observational products to present an updated estimate of the coupled atmosphere–ocean–sea ice Arctic energy budget, including flux and storage terms covering 2001–17. Observational products provide independent estimates of crucial budget terms, including oceanic heat transport from unique mooring-derived data, radiative fluxes from satellites, and sea ice volume from merged satellite data. Results show that the time averages of independent estimates of radiative, atmospheric, and oceanic energy fluxes into the Arctic Ocean domain are remarkably consistent in the sense that their sum closely matches the observed rate of regional long-term oceanic heat accumulation of ∼1 W m

^-2. Atmospheric and oceanic heat transports are found to be stronger compared to earlier assessments (∼100 and ∼16 W m

^-2, respectively). Data inconsistencies are larger when considering the mean annual cycle of the coupled energy budget, with RMS values of the monthly budget residual between 7 and 15 W m

^-2, depending on the employed datasets. This nevertheless represents an average reduction of ∼72% of the residual compared to earlier work and demonstrates the progress made in data quality and diagnostic techniques. Finally, the budget residual is eliminated using a variational approach to provide a best estimate of the mean annual cycle. The largest remaining sources of uncertainty are ocean heat content and latent heat associated with sea ice melt and freeze, which both suffer from the lack of observational constraints. More ocean in situ observations and reliable sea ice thickness observations and their routinely assimilation into reanalyses are needed to further reduce uncertainty.

Organisation(en)

Institut für Meteorologie und Geophysik

Externe Organisation(en)

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), University of Bergen (UiB)

Journal

Journal of Climate

Band

Seiten

7915-7934

Anzahl der Seiten

ISSN

0894-8755

DOI

https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0233.1

Publikationsdatum

11-2019

Peer-reviewed

ÖFOS 2012

105204 Klimatologie

Schlagwörter

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Atmospheric Science

Link zum Portal

https://ucris.univie.ac.at/portal/de/publications/an-improved-estimate-of-the-coupled-arctic-energy-budget(9f9c266d-f5f7-48e5-a1a2-a543ab51a4d4).html